Bitcoin News

These days it seems like you can’t read the financial news without seeing headlines about cryptocurrencies. Between Bitcoin Gold, Segwit2x, hard forks and soft forks, things can get confusing. Here are a few articles that you may have missed:

Are you trading Bitcoin as a financial security? Love it? Hate it? Let us know your thoughts and if there’s anything you’d like to see in future versions of QuikStrike.

The Search for Volatility

With 50.5 trading days left in the year and equity vol DOA, market participants are hunting for something to trade. Here’s a rundown of volatility levels by asset class (equities, metals, fx, energy, ags, and rates); all vol cones are for a 5-year history with expirations on the left-hand side.

Equities

E-Mini S&P 500 vol is at 5-year lows:

Metals

Gold and silver vol is near 5-year lows as well:


Copper vol shows signs of life for shorter dated expiries after testing recent highs:

FX

FX vol is middling:



Energy

Oil vol is low as WTI grinds higher:

Natural gas shows signs of seasonality:

Ags

Ags also harboring low vol:






Rates





Eurodollars

Eurodollar vol reflects uncertainty around the next rate hike:





Oil and Gold Update

Friday’s 3% drop in crude oil definitively broke below $50/barrel with open interest for WTI (as reported in the COT Report) at all time highs. Headlines cite lessening concerns regarding Tropical Storm Nate and oversupply issues. Volatility remains subdued though ahead of OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report on Weds followed by the IEA’s report on Thurs.

The WTI COT Report also shows that Producers – who have a natural bias to be short – haven’t been net short this little since Jan 2015 (AKA their net position, while still short, is the longest it’s been in awhile). In Brent, the Money Mangers’ net position is the shortest it’s been in our data’s history (dating back to 2008).

Funny trade in gold on Friday as well – expiring over a year from now the following trade was blocked – all new positioning:

– 7,500 Dec18 2000 calls @ 3
– 7,500 Dec18 2600 calls @ 0.15
– 15,000 Dec18 3000 calls @ 0.1

The sizes make it look like a call spread stupid (the 2000-3000 call spread WITH the 2600-3000 call spread) for when the SHTF – but that far out both in strike and expiry, who knows.

QuikVol is now included in QuikStrike

QuikStrike subscriptions – paid or free – now come with basic access to QuikVol, our platform for advanced volatility comparisons. You’ll now be able to view 1-month of data for active expirations, historical contracts, and constant maturity securities.

To check it out, login to QuikStrike as you normally would and then click on QuikVol in the upper left hand corner. The interface is the same as QuikStrike; you’ll still have access to your QuikMenu and shortcuts, and you’ll select contracts, views, report options, etc. the same way you do in QuikStrike.

 

Available Views

From QuikVol home you can select one of the following:

  • Active Expirations – analytics for currently trading contracts.
  • Historical Expirations – analytics for expired/historical contracts (active expirations are also available for seasonal comparisons).
  • Constant Maturity – ATM and delta-based skew analytics for constant maturity estimations.
  • Volatility Cones – an aggregation of historical volatilities with which to compare current levels.

Let us know if you have any questions.