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QuikVol is now included in QuikStrike

QuikStrike subscriptions – paid or free – now come with basic access to QuikVol, our platform for advanced volatility comparisons. You’ll now be able to view 1-month of data for active expirations, historical contracts, and constant maturity securities.

To check it out, login to QuikStrike as you normally would and then click on QuikVol in the upper left hand corner. The interface is the same as QuikStrike; you’ll still have access to your QuikMenu and shortcuts, and you’ll select contracts, views, report options, etc. the same way you do in QuikStrike.

 

Available Views

From QuikVol home you can select one of the following:

  • Active Expirations – analytics for currently trading contracts.
  • Historical Expirations – analytics for expired/historical contracts (active expirations are also available for seasonal comparisons).
  • Constant Maturity – ATM and delta-based skew analytics for constant maturity estimations.
  • Volatility Cones – an aggregation of historical volatilities with which to compare current levels.

Let us know if you have any questions.

Cross Asset Class Volatility Update

In the last few weeks volatility has returned to financial headlines with a vengeance leaving traders checking under their beds for asset bubbles and causing “panic” when VIX traded with a 17-handle for the first time since November 2016. So what’s really playing out in markets?

* note that the volatilities shown are calculated using industry standards based on the type of asset; for example, absolute levels cannot be compared between rates and metals.

Rates

In rates space historical volatility (orange) has picked up but implieds (blue) are lackadaisical. FV/5-yr, TY/10-yr, and US/bond, 30-day constant maturity series are shown respectively below:

 

Here’s a longer dated TY history:

Metals

Gold vol has actually found a bid (with silver and palladium following suit):

While platinum, thus far, is flat:

Energy

Natural Gas implied volatility is the lowest it’s been since 2014:

Although oil is off the lows of the year:

Ags

Vol has come back down in grains after an exciting month although wheat could be picking up again:

Equities

And last but not least, E-mini S&P500 vol has caught a bid:

For a little perspective of where we are currently, here’s a 5-year history of a few constant maturity series:

Like all things, low vol environments eventually come to an end, but low vol by itself doesn’t “trigger”  eruptions. Claiming that vol can uptick ahead of an event isn’t exactly going out on a limb. But I’m sure they’ll tell you they told you so next week.